Literature claiming to “predict” injuries is increasing in sports science and medicine. However, it is important to understand the role and meaning of prediction in research and practice. This talk covers the fundamental concepts and phases of prognosis research, using training load and injury prediction as an example. Common (methodological) errors and misunderstandings in prognosis research will also be presented together with a clarification of epidemiological-derived terms such as training load as exposure and dose.
Franco Impellizzeri is a Professor in Sport and Exercise Science and Medicine since 2018 at the faculty of Health of the University of Technology Sydney (UTS) where he teaches applied exercise physiology and research methods. He started his career at the MAPEI Sport Research Centre (Italy) and has subsequently worked for 10 years in clinical setting as a Senior Research Fellow at the Department of Research & Development of the Schulthess Clinic (Zurich, Switzerland). He is a member of the editorial boards of various scientific journals including co-editor in chief of Science and Medicine in Football. His main research areas and interests are training load, testing, research methods and epidemiology. He is a fellow of the European College of Sport Sciences and a member of the STORK (The Society for Transparency, Openness, and Replication in Kinesiology).